I was under the impression that the Socialists were preparing to wash their hands of Hollande, given his unpopularity. That said, do the Socialists as whole not carry any traditional incumbent advantage going into 2017?
What sort of impact has Trump's election had on French politics? Has it made French people wary in transforming their growing populist sentiment into political change, or are they becoming more receptive to the National Front?
Today, I read an article saying that Hollande had all the cards in hand to be the candidate for the Socialist Party. In a way, in the last couple of months, there were less unemployed people and Hollande has made some good cultural moves. And to be fair, there's no one to really go after him. Some names are coming up, but for now, it's quite vague...
So far, not much. Most of them are waiting to see what will come out of it. Only Marine Le Pen was really happy about it. I haven't seen any change so far that would make people vote for Marine Le Pen because Trump won in the US.
The whole thing about Fillon being the Right wing candidate was a big pile of bullshit: anyone was able to vote for electing the candidate of the right wing. Anyone. Whether you were a member of the Républicains (right wing party), of the Parti Socialist or even a communist. People voted to eliminate Sarkozy. And then Juppé was eliminated despite having the support of most of the young people because he did some bad things in the past.
Now, onto Fillon himself, let me give you some examples for his program (I'm taking that from the official website):
- Suppressing the tax on big fortunes
- Going back to 39 hours of work a week instead of 35 for state employees only
- Adoption allowed only for heterosexual couples
- Thinking of having a uniform for students (I've seen in England that it's totally useless)
- Controlling abortion (won't be so easy to have the right to abort for a woman, which is totally a political thing to decide, you know)
- Making a European Treasure to put together all the debts of the E.U. countries once the Central European Bank can decide on a global economic strategy
- Evaluate the universities depending on how well students get a job after their studies, and of course, deciding on how much money you give them depending on this evaluation (great for Humanities, isn't it?)
Now, of course, there are also a damn lot of good promises. I mean, he's to be elected after all.
And I remember seeing worse things, but too lazy right now to go on reading through his whole program and I start to confuse everything, so I'll stop here.
Honestly, it will be the same as Clinton/Trump: a choice between the plague and the cholera. In the end, no one who makes you want to really vote for them.